NASA increases Earth impact probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 to 2.6%
News of an asteroid with a 2 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032 made headlines. But is its fluctuating risk really cause for concern?

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The story so far
4 developments- Feb 12, 2025Newly Discovered Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is at Risk of Hitting Earth. What Do We Do?
- Feb 13, 2025Why asteroid 2024 YR4 is unlikely to hit Earth in 2032 and how scientists keep track
- Feb 15, 2025An asteroid has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Here’s how astronomers are tracking it
- Feb 18, 2025NASA increases Earth impact probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 to 2.6%
Who covered each development
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Quiet for 588 daysLast development · Feb 18, 2025 — NASA increases Earth impact probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 to 2.6%
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4 viewpointsAn asteroid has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Here’s how astronomers are tracking it
Why asteroid 2024 YR4 is unlikely to hit Earth in 2032 and how scientists keep track
Newly Discovered Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is at Risk of Hitting Earth. What Do We Do?
Center
7 viewpointsChance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports
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1 articleOdds of Asteroid Hitting Earth in 2032 Climb Again as Impact Probability Hits New Peak
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